SC Covilha vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
4º
8º
8º
14
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 0
SPC
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 2
ATL
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
SPC
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 1
LUS
52%
25%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 0
SPC
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FEL
1 - 0
VAR
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
ALV
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 0
VAR
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
BRA
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
VAR
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |