SC Covilha vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 1
SPC
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SPC
2 - 0
BEL
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 1
SPC
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SPC
2 - 1
GFC
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SPC
2 - 3
ARO
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 0
ARO
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FEI
2 - 1
VAR
63%
23%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 1
LEX
28%
29%
44%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
VAR
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 2
EST
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |