Taça de Portugal 1/32
Global 2-1
SC Covilha vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
SPC
0 - 1
FEL
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
LEC
0 - 1
SPC
61%
22%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
VAR
1 - 1
SPC
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
SCF
0 - 2
SPC
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
SPC
1 - 1
NAV
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
VAR
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
VAR
5 - 0
ESP
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
VAR
1 - 1
SPC
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
ACA
3 - 0
VAR
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
VAR
1 - 0
IMO
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |