SC Covilha vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
EST
0 - 0
SPC
59%
23%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 0
AVE
39%
27%
33%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
TRO
2 - 1
SPC
67%
21%
13%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SPC
3 - 0
FAT
54%
24%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 0
SPC
62%
22%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
UNM
3 - 2
AVE
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 1
UNM
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
UDL
1 - 2
UNM
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
MAF
1 - 1
UNM
34%
24%
42%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
UNM
2 - 0
ALC
79%
14%
6%
|
62 | 16 | 46 | 0 |