SC Covilha vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 0
SPC
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
RIB
0 - 0
SPC
23%
23%
54%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 2
AVE
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 0
SPC
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
SPC
2 - 0
POR
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TRO
0 - 1
EST
49%
27%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
TRO
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TRO
1 - 2
NAV
51%
27%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MOR
4 - 1
TRO
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TRO
1 - 0
BEL
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |