SC Covilha vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
47.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CES
1 - 2
SPC
16%
23%
62%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PAÇ
3 - 0
SPC
70%
20%
10%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SPC
1 - 2
VSC
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
VAR
3 - 1
SPC
49%
28%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
COV
2 - 4
SPC
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
TRO
2 - 3
PEN
11%
19%
70%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 0
COV
56%
25%
18%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BRA
0 - 3
PEN
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 0
POR
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
FAM
2 - 0
PEN
31%
27%
43%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |