SC Covilha vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 3
SPC
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SPC
2 - 1
MOR
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
GFC
1 - 1
SPC
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ARO
2 - 0
SPC
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 3
FEI
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 1
ARO
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
AVE
0 - 1
PEN
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
VST
3 - 1
PEN
55%
23%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
PEN
3 - 2
SCF
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2010 |
LEX
2 - 1
PEN
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |