SC Covilha vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
EST
1 - 0
SPC
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 2
GFC
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SCF
3 - 2
SPC
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 0
VAR
63%
21%
15%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
SPC
2 - 2
BMA
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 1
AVE
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 3
PEN
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
PEN
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 0
GFC
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 3
SCF
40%
27%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |