SC Covilha vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1988 |
SAL
2 - 2
SPC
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
SPC
0 - 1
CHA
36%
29%
36%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
OEL
5 - 0
SPC
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
SPC
1 - 2
SCP
9%
16%
75%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
MAR
1 - 1
SPC
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1988 |
POR
4 - 1
PEN
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
PEN
0 - 0
FCP
15%
27%
58%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
VAR
3 - 4
PEN
48%
27%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1988 |
PEN
3 - 1
LEX
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
PEN
0 - 0
BOA
39%
31%
31%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |