SC Covilha vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
63.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
VSC
2 - 2
SPC
50%
26%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
SPC
3 - 0
COV
40%
28%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 0
VAR
31%
29%
40%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ACV
1 - 1
SPC
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MAF
1 - 2
SPC
60%
24%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
VAR
68%
21%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 1
PAÇ
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
ACA
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
BRA
3 - 1
PAÇ
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
COV
0 - 3
PAÇ
18%
25%
57%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |