SC Covilha vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
ATL
3 - 1
SPC
58%
20%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
SPC
3 - 2
BEL
32%
25%
44%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
CAL
3 - 2
SPC
47%
23%
30%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
SPC
2 - 1
FAB
66%
18%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
FCP
8 - 1
SPC
79%
12%
9%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
ORI
1 - 0
SCP
18%
22%
61%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
SLB
3 - 0
ORI
80%
12%
9%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
ORI
0 - 2
ACA
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
TOR
4 - 1
ORI
62%
20%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
ORI
2 - 1
FCB
55%
23%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |