SC Covilha vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
SCP
7 - 0
SPC
90%
7%
4%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
SPC
0 - 0
ATL
53%
22%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
FCP
1 - 0
SPC
78%
13%
9%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
BOA
0 - 0
SPC
61%
20%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
SPC
1 - 0
ACA
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
ORI
1 - 2
ATL
42%
24%
35%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
BOA
3 - 1
ORI
61%
20%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
ORI
3 - 0
BEL
19%
24%
56%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
ORI
3 - 3
VST
49%
23%
28%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
SPB
3 - 1
ORI
61%
21%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |