SC Covilha vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.3%
15.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
VST
2 - 3
SPC
45%
22%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
ACA
5 - 1
SPC
56%
19%
26%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
SPC
1 - 2
FCP
31%
21%
48%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
SPB
2 - 0
SPC
47%
21%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
SCP
2 - 1
SPC
88%
7%
5%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
ORI
2 - 1
FCP
20%
20%
60%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
SPB
3 - 0
ORI
62%
19%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
ORI
4 - 2
ATL
35%
23%
42%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
SCP
9 - 0
ORI
91%
6%
3%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
ORI
2 - 4
SLB
16%
17%
67%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |