SC Covilha vs Oliveira Hospital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
4º
10º
8º
5
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 35 |
1º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 28 |
2º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 28 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 26 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 25 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 24 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 24 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 20 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 20 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 18 |
10º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
19% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
81% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SPC
4 - 0
POM
65%
20%
16%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
SPC
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 2
BEL
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
1DE
3 - 1
SPC
22%
26%
52%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SPC
1 - 0
CAL
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Oliveira Hospital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
MAC
59%
21%
19%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
OLI
72%
18%
11%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 0
1DE
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
OLI
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
ACA
20%
23%
57%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |