SC Covilha vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
43.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
SPC
0 - 2
SAN
25%
26%
50%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
SAL
2 - 1
SPC
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
SPC
0 - 1
FEL
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
EST
1 - 0
SPC
40%
29%
31%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
SPC
2 - 1
AVE
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
NAV
2 - 0
SAL
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
AVE
2 - 0
NAV
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
FEL
1 - 1
NAV
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
NAV
3 - 1
EST
66%
20%
13%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
RIO
0 - 0
NAV
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |