SC Covilha vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 2
SPC
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
SPC
0 - 0
FAR
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
SAL
2 - 1
SPC
61%
23%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
SPC
0 - 0
EST
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
UNI
0 - 4
SPC
41%
29%
30%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
NAV
1 - 0
AVE
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
ALV
1 - 2
NAV
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
UNM
2 - 0
NAV
30%
28%
43%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
NAV
2 - 1
CHA
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2003 |
FCP
2 - 0
NAV
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |