SC Covilha vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 0
SPC
46%
26%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
IDA
0 - 2
SPC
7%
14%
79%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 2
VIT
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 0
PEN
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
SPC
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
TRO
0 - 3
NAC
15%
23%
63%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VIN
0 - 3
NAC
5%
10%
85%
|
60 | 11 | 49 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
CAS
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 1
VAR
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |