SC Covilha vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
SLB
1 - 1
SPC
85%
10%
6%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
SPC
1 - 2
ACA
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
SPC
1 - 1
BEL
33%
24%
43%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
OLH
1 - 0
SPC
67%
18%
15%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
SPC
2 - 1
VIT
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
LGC
2 - 1
OLH
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
SAL
1 - 0
LGC
58%
21%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
LGC
4 - 0
LEX
49%
24%
28%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
SCP
0 - 0
LGC
80%
12%
8%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
FAB
7 - 1
LGC
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |