SC Covilha vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
21%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
SPC
2 - 1
TOR
72%
15%
12%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
CAL
2 - 0
SPC
42%
24%
35%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
SPC
2 - 1
FAB
64%
18%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
FCB
1 - 1
SPC
52%
23%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
SPC
2 - 0
BEL
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
CAL
3 - 1
LGC
42%
23%
35%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
LGC
1 - 1
FCB
61%
19%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
SLB
1 - 1
LGC
84%
10%
6%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
SPB
0 - 2
LGC
68%
16%
15%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
ATL
3 - 3
LGC
62%
18%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |