SC Covilha vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
ORI
1 - 1
SPC
53%
22%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
SPC
2 - 2
SCP
18%
20%
61%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
ATL
3 - 1
SPC
62%
20%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
SPC
0 - 2
FCP
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1953 |
SPC
3 - 0
VIT
62%
19%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
SCP
9 - 0
LGC
88%
7%
4%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
LGC
2 - 0
FCP
27%
23%
50%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
ACA
2 - 1
LGC
53%
21%
27%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
LGC
0 - 2
SLB
22%
20%
58%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1953 |
LGC
1 - 0
FCP
41%
23%
36%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |