SC Covilha vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
ATL
4 - 0
SPC
56%
22%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
SPC
0 - 0
VIT
52%
22%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
SPC
1 - 4
SLB
21%
22%
57%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1960 |
BOA
1 - 1
SPC
54%
22%
24%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1960 |
SPC
3 - 2
LGC
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
FAB
1 - 5
SLB
23%
23%
54%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
BOA
0 - 3
FAB
62%
20%
18%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
FAB
1 - 1
LGC
54%
22%
24%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1960 |
SPB
1 - 5
FAB
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1960 |
FAB
3 - 1
VST
48%
23%
30%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |