SC Covilha vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
60.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
SPC
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 0
SPC
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SPC
1 - 0
UNM
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
SPC
2 - 1
GFC
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ORI
0 - 2
SPC
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BOA
1 - 2
EST
18%
27%
55%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
EST
3 - 0
GFC
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
MOR
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
SCP
3 - 0
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |