SC Covilha vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
36.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
MAI
3 - 1
SPC
70%
19%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
SPC
2 - 0
VST
20%
25%
54%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
FCM
3 - 1
SPC
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
SPC
1 - 2
OVA
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
LEX
1 - 1
SPC
65%
22%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 0
SAL
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
FEL
1 - 1
AVE
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
AVE
2 - 1
EST
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 0
AVE
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
MAI
4 - 0
AVE
53%
24%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |