SC Covilha vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
FAB
1 - 1
SPC
55%
21%
24%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
SPC
0 - 1
FCP
31%
24%
46%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
LGC
3 - 2
SPC
52%
22%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
SCP
7 - 1
SPC
88%
8%
4%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
SPC
1 - 3
SLB
20%
20%
60%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
CAL
1 - 7
SCP
10%
17%
73%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
SLB
1 - 0
CAL
91%
6%
3%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
CAL
1 - 0
ACA
46%
23%
32%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
TOR
4 - 0
CAL
67%
18%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
CAL
0 - 1
FCB
51%
23%
27%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |