SC Covilha vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
SPC
1 - 0
POR
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
VST
3 - 1
SPC
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
SPC
0 - 0
VIT
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
MAR
2 - 0
SPC
44%
29%
27%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1985 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPC
93%
5%
2%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
SLB
1 - 1
VST
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
VIT
2 - 1
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
SLB
9 - 0
MAR
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
FCP
2 - 0
SLB
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1985 |
SLB
3 - 1
FCP
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |