SC Covilha vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
57.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
FCP
5 - 1
SPC
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
SPB
0 - 2
SPC
57%
21%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
SPC
3 - 0
ACA
61%
20%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
SPC
2 - 2
ATL
61%
20%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1955 |
SCP
3 - 0
SPC
88%
8%
4%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
SLB
7 - 1
SPB
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
SLB
3 - 0
ATL
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
VST
3 - 5
SLB
21%
21%
58%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
SLB
2 - 2
TOR
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1955 |
FAB
1 - 5
SLB
23%
20%
57%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |