SC Covilha vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
59.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
VST
1 - 3
SPC
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
SPC
3 - 2
FCB
53%
22%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
SPB
0 - 0
SPC
57%
22%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
SPC
5 - 1
VIT
56%
22%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
LGC
3 - 1
SPC
57%
21%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
SLB
2 - 1
FCB
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
VIT
2 - 1
SLB
18%
20%
62%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
SLB
5 - 0
ORI
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
ATL
1 - 2
SLB
24%
21%
55%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
SLB
3 - 0
BOA
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |