SC Covilha vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.6%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
79.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
BEL
6 - 1
SPC
90%
6%
3%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
SPC
1 - 1
OLH
48%
22%
31%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
SPB
2 - 1
SPC
72%
15%
12%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
SPC
4 - 0
BOA
60%
19%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
SLB
8 - 0
SPC
85%
9%
6%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
SLB
6 - 0
VST
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
LUS
1 - 2
SLB
5%
11%
84%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
BEL
0 - 1
SLB
46%
20%
33%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
SLB
1 - 0
OLH
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
SCP
3 - 0
SLB
64%
16%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |