Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 0-13
SC Covilha vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
50.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
SPC
0 - 6
BEL
34%
22%
44%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
BEL
7 - 0
SPC
79%
12%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
SPC
2 - 3
ACA
57%
20%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
ACA
5 - 1
SPC
58%
19%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
83%
10%
7%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1941 |
SLB
3 - 2
UNI
88%
8%
5%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
FCP
5 - 2
SLB
66%
17%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
SLB
2 - 4
SCP
54%
20%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
FCB
1 - 0
SLB
13%
16%
71%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |