SC Covilha vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
44.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 0
SPC
56%
26%
19%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 1
ACA
31%
30%
39%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 0
CAS
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
POR
2 - 1
SPC
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 0
OLI
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ARO
3 - 0
OLI
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
POR
0 - 3
ARO
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ARO
1 - 0
FEI
32%
29%
39%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
VIZ
1 - 1
ARO
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 1
PEN
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |