SC Covilha vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
42%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
8º
26
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
SCP
1 - 0
SPC
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
USA
0 - 1
SPC
57%
23%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SPC
3 - 2
MON
54%
24%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SPC
1 - 0
OLI
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
SPC
48%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
ACA
5 - 1
LUS
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 0
BEL
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
1DE
1 - 2
ACA
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 3
CAL
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 1
TOR
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |