Prev. Taça da Liga Final
Global 2-2
SC Covilha vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
57.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SPC
1 - 0
ATL
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SPC
0 - 1
PEN
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
SCP
2 - 1
SPC
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SPC
1 - 1
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
VSC
0 - 0
SPC
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 0
ACA
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 1
OLH
45%
28%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
BMA
3 - 3
ACA
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FCP
1 - 0
ACA
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
ACA
0 - 1
CEL
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |