SC Covilha vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
SPC
1 - 1
BEL
33%
24%
43%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
OLH
1 - 0
SPC
67%
18%
15%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
SPC
2 - 1
VIT
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
SLB
8 - 0
SPC
84%
10%
6%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
SPC
2 - 1
FCB
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
ACA
1 - 2
OLH
54%
21%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
SAL
1 - 2
ACA
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
ACA
3 - 0
FCB
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
LGC
1 - 0
ACA
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
BEL
2 - 2
ACA
74%
16%
11%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |