SC Covilha vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
TOR
5 - 0
SPC
49%
22%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
FCB
3 - 2
SPC
53%
22%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
SPC
2 - 0
VST
52%
21%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
ORI
2 - 0
SPC
53%
22%
25%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
SPC
2 - 1
ATL
67%
18%
15%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
ACA
2 - 0
SCP
23%
22%
55%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
ACA
0 - 0
SLB
19%
20%
62%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
LGC
3 - 1
ACA
60%
20%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
TOR
2 - 1
ACA
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
ACA
2 - 2
FCB
61%
20%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |