SC Covilha vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
SPC
2 - 0
BEL
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
SLB
5 - 1
SPC
89%
8%
4%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
SPC
3 - 0
VST
49%
23%
29%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
FCB
0 - 0
SPC
61%
20%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
SPC
2 - 4
SPB
64%
19%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
SLB
1 - 2
ACA
88%
8%
4%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
ACA
2 - 0
FCB
55%
21%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
VIT
1 - 0
ACA
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
ACA
2 - 1
ORI
68%
17%
15%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
ATL
1 - 1
ACA
64%
18%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |