Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 3-8
SC Covilha vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
23.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1939 |
ACA
5 - 1
SPC
58%
19%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1939 |
ACA
5 - 1
SPC
58%
19%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
ACA
4 - 0
CAS
81%
12%
8%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
FCB
3 - 2
ACA
64%
19%
18%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
ACA
0 - 0
BEL
31%
22%
47%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
APO
6 - 2
ACA
64%
18%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |