Charleroi vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
50.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charleroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
3 - 1
CHA
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 2
LOK
28%
24%
48%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 1
BRU
18%
20%
62%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
BER
3 - 1
CHA
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
CHA
3 - 1
KVC
31%
26%
44%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
EXC
1 - 1
BRU
26%
24%
51%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
BER
1 - 1
EXC
26%
25%
50%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 2
KVC
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
AND
0 - 0
EXC
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
ANT
3 - 1
EXC
23%
24%
54%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |