SP Cabanillas vs Poligono Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Cabanillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
YUN
0 - 0
CAB
60%
22%
18%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
FUE
2 - 3
CAB
42%
24%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 2
SON
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
CAB
49%
24%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CAB
0 - 1
MAD
37%
26%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Poligono Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PTO
1 - 1
ORG
24%
22%
54%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
YUN
1 - 0
PTO
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PTO
1 - 1
FUE
25%
23%
52%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SON
3 - 1
PTO
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
PTO
0 - 5
GUA
22%
22%
56%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |