Sporting Braga vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
BOA
1 - 2
SPB
60%
20%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
FCP
10 - 1
SPB
83%
11%
7%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1952 |
SPB
1 - 1
FCP
36%
23%
41%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
SPB
1 - 0
VIT
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
EST
3 - 2
SPB
66%
18%
16%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
VST
2 - 1
SLB
16%
19%
66%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
VIT
3 - 1
VST
63%
18%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
VST
2 - 1
VIT
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
ORI
1 - 2
VST
58%
19%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
VST
1 - 0
ACA
52%
21%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |