Sporting Braga vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
4º
9º
4º
12
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 75 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 69 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 69 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 68 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
12 | 61 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 52 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 50 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 40 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 39 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 35 |
15º
|
5.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 28 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
10% | 2.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
25% | 6% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
20% | 14.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
17.5% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
27.5% | 62% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GFC
0 - 0
SPB
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 2
SPB
22%
22%
56%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SPB
3 - 1
MOR
66%
21%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
SPB
2 - 1
RAP
62%
20%
17%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 1
SPB
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 1
FAM
56%
23%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
ZRI
0 - 4
VIT
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 0
VIT
12%
22%
66%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 0
ZRI
61%
22%
18%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 0
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |