Sporting Braga vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
BMA
0 - 2
SPB
47%
25%
27%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
SPB
0 - 2
FCP
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
SPB
3 - 2
BMA
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
FAM
2 - 2
SPB
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
SPB
3 - 0
EST
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
VIT
1 - 0
ESP
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
BOA
0 - 0
VIT
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
ACA
2 - 2
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
VIT
0 - 2
MAR
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
BEL
1 - 1
VIT
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |