Sporting Braga vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
23%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
OEL
4 - 1
SPB
55%
20%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
SPB
3 - 1
ACA
66%
17%
17%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
SLB
4 - 2
SPB
89%
7%
4%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
BEL
2 - 1
SPB
85%
9%
6%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
SPB
3 - 0
ATL
52%
21%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
VIT
2 - 2
SPC
64%
17%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
FCP
3 - 0
VIT
76%
13%
11%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
VIT
4 - 2
VST
62%
18%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
VIT
1 - 2
SCP
23%
19%
58%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1949 |
EST
1 - 1
VIT
76%
13%
11%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |