Sporting Braga vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
21%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
FCP
0 - 1
SPB
85%
9%
6%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
SPB
2 - 1
SPC
72%
15%
12%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
VST
1 - 2
SPB
52%
20%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1948 |
POR
3 - 0
SPB
51%
20%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
BEL
4 - 0
SPB
86%
9%
5%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
VIT
3 - 1
BOA
75%
14%
11%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
OEL
3 - 2
VIT
61%
18%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
VIT
4 - 1
EST
31%
21%
48%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
VIT
4 - 2
ATL
52%
21%
28%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1948 |
SPB
1 - 0
VIT
63%
18%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |