Sporting Braga vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2007 |
SPB
2 - 1
NAV
65%
22%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
TOT
3 - 2
SPB
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
SPB
0 - 0
BMA
67%
21%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2007 |
SPB
2 - 3
TOT
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
FCP
1 - 0
SPB
68%
21%
12%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
PEN
2 - 1
VAR
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
POR
1 - 2
VAR
34%
28%
39%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
VAR
3 - 2
VIZ
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
OLH
1 - 1
VAR
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
VAR
2 - 0
GON
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |