Sporting Braga vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
SAL
1 - 1
SPB
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
FCP
1 - 0
SPB
85%
10%
4%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
SPB
3 - 1
FAR
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
ACA
2 - 1
SPB
43%
29%
29%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1985 |
SPB
1 - 1
VIT
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIZ
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
VAR
2 - 1
ACA
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
BEL
3 - 1
VAR
57%
26%
17%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
VAR
0 - 2
SCP
17%
27%
56%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1985 |
PEN
2 - 1
VAR
42%
32%
27%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |