Sporting Braga vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
SPB
3 - 0
SCP
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
POR
0 - 0
SPB
54%
24%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
SPB
3 - 0
GDA
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
AMO
1 - 0
SPB
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
NAV
0 - 5
SPB
47%
22%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
VAR
0 - 0
VIT
43%
28%
30%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1983 |
SCP
2 - 0
VAR
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
VAR
1 - 1
SLB
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
POR
1 - 1
VAR
66%
22%
13%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
VAR
0 - 0
EST
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |