Sporting Braga vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
SPB
1 - 0
BOA
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
ESP
1 - 1
SPB
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1980 |
SPB
2 - 1
VST
63%
22%
16%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
BEL
2 - 2
SPB
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
SPB
2 - 2
SCP
25%
27%
48%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
VAR
0 - 1
PEN
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
BOA
1 - 0
VAR
65%
22%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1980 |
VAR
5 - 1
ESP
63%
23%
14%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
VST
2 - 0
VAR
54%
27%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
VAR
4 - 0
BEL
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |