Sporting Braga vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
19.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
VIT
2 - 1
SPB
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
SPB
2 - 0
BEL
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
SCP
5 - 0
SPB
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
SPB
0 - 0
RIO
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
FEI
0 - 1
SPB
34%
27%
38%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 0
ACA
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
SLB
2 - 1
VAR
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
VAR
3 - 1
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
ESP
1 - 0
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
VAR
3 - 1
BOA
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +2 |