Sporting Braga vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
FCP
4 - 2
SPB
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
SPB
4 - 2
FAB
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
ACA
1 - 2
SPB
73%
16%
11%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
SPB
2 - 1
BEL
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
SPB
3 - 2
VST
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 1
SLB
20%
19%
61%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
LEX
1 - 1
VAR
56%
22%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
VAR
4 - 1
FCB
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
BMA
3 - 2
VAR
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
SCP
4 - 0
VAR
87%
9%
5%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |