Qualif. Champions Play Offs Final
Global 2-2
Sporting Braga vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SLB
2 - 2
SPB
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
WHU
1 - 1
SPB
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 1
SPB
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
SPB
0 - 0
COX
83%
13%
4%
|
88 | 47 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SCP
3 - 2
SPB
46%
26%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 2
UDI
27%
28%
45%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 4
UDI
31%
27%
43%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
S04
0 - 0
UDI
55%
24%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
UDI
1 - 2
ANT
69%
20%
12%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ATA
1 - 1
UDI
6%
16%
78%
|
86 | 9 | 77 | 0 |